Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033
One-OffPolitique américaineTech6aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
69
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète26 juin 23, 19:04 UTC2 janv. 33, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who wins the self-driving car race: pure vision or sensor fusion?
Manifold MarketsWill the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030
Manifold MarketsWill more people travel between cities by self driving car than by inter city rail before 2037
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
In at least one state, given some conditions, driving "drunk" is legal again.
- Drunk means "with blood alcohol levels above those which would have lead to DUI convictions in 2023".
- The conditions may be things like: you must have a car with level X of self-driving, or a specific model, or some other condition.
- The condition must be one which the general public can do (not something like "you must be a police officer" or "you must buy a model of a car which isn't available to the public".)
- i.e. someone who has say 300k to spend and lives in the state can do the necessary things to get approval to be subject to these more relaxed drunk driving laws.
- Note: if the limits for blood alcohol are relaxed generally, for all drivers, that is not sufficient.
