Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.3%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 juil. 23, 22:51 UTC2 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
-"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance.
- -"an": the deaths must be from the same source, such as a glitch, misfire or AI attack (we won't combine unrelated disasters).
- We'll include cumulative deaths over time (such as the same glitch killing people over several months), as long as it's credible that the deaths were caused by the same AI problem.
- -"AI": must be a system (or multiple systems) that relied on artificial intelligence for its decisions.
- -"disaster": the AI must've done something that most smart people would say is malicious, reckless, or poor judgement.
- Unless the AI was correctly following orders by a human who we agree was authorized to give those orders, then that doesn't count.
