Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer 46.2%+6.9ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
21 mars 26, 22:27 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.
- Does not matter if the caucus is in the majority or minority, this is caucus vote not speaker vote.
- Hakeem Jeffries and NOT Jeffries are the house options, Chuck Schumer and NOT Schumer are the senate options.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Hakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer à 46% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.