Prévision communautaire actuelle
Democratic 50%-2.6ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-2.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète27 mars 26, 10:05 UTC7 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
PredictItWhich party will control the House after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiWhich party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Congress control will be determined by the results of elections held on November 7, 2028, when 34 Senate seats and all 435 House seats are up for election.
- The market resolves based on which party holds majorities in both chambers of the 121st Congress beginning January 3, 2029.
- Republican control: Republicans hold majorities in both the Senate (51+ seats) and House (218+ seats).
- Democratic control: Democrats hold majorities in both the Senate (51+ seats) and House (218+ seats).
- the named outcome control: A party other than Republican or Democratic holds majorities in both chambers, or no single party controls both chambers.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic à 50% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2028.
- Comment Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria