Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Politique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJosh Shapiro 59.2%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète26 oct. 25, 00:39 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if they are the nominee and win the presidency.
- Resolves no if they are the nominee and lose the presidency.
- Resolve N/A if they are not the nominee.
- Nominee being the person selected at the DNC as the presidential candidate.
- If the results of the election are overturned but they distribution of votes corresponds to a majority of electors, then that counts as winning.
