Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSomeone else is the Democratic nominee and that person WINS the presidency 15.1%En tête parmi 22 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète26 août 26, 11:52 UTC7 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any state by 10.000% or more, that was won by trump in 2024?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to the option that correctly identifies the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee and whether they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Democratic Nominee: The individual who officially secures the Democratic Party's presidential nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (DNC) or is formally certified by the Democratic National Committee to appear on the general election ballot in November 2028.
- Winning the Presidency: The candidate will be treated as having won the 2028 presidential election once there is a clear consensus among major reputable news organizations that they are the president-elect.
- For this purpose, “clear consensus” means the Associated Press has called the race for the candidate and at least two of Reuters, the New York Times, CNN, Fox News, ABC News, CBS News, or NBC News have done the same.
- Resolution Rules:
- Only one option will resolve YES; all other options will resolve NO.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Someone else is the Democratic nominee and that person WINS the presidency à 15% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2028.
- Comment Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to the option that correctly identifies the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee and whether they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.