Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end?
One-OffSociety & Culture4jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
20 mai 26, 15:22 UTC21 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I regret AFFINE or school?
Manifold MarketsWill I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]
Manifold MarketsWhen will I regret not changing my gender
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
I'm considering something under ~100 USD.
- It's already very hot for this time of year, and there's no AC in the building.
- Resolves YES if I wish I had not bought the AC, resolves NA if I never make a purchase, and resolves NO if I buy a mini/portable AC and am satisfied with that choice.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AC doesn't work well but the purchase still seemed reasonable given the information at the time, this will still resolve YES (regret).
Marchés ouverts
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 k €
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-6.5pt72.3%
- Yes+6.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 20 k €
- Volume 24h
- 667,2 €
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 50,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 571,9 €
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume total
- 522,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 522,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- 522,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 522,2 €
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I'm considering something under ~100 USD.