Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.7%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
24 janv. 26, 15:26 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:10 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of these goals will I achieve before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWill high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRègles
As many of you know, I am currently enrolled in a New York (State) private school.
- After the @/realDonaldTrump/am-i-screwed-read-desc incident, along with a bunch of other, let's say, interesting stuff that my school administration has done, I've decided to go to public high school after I graduate middle school this year.
- Here's my reasoning:
- Pro-private (random order):
- I have friends there and I haven't been in the public school system for 4 years
- It's a nice campus, they have good food, etc.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 136,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As many of you know, I am currently enrolled in a New York (State) private school.