Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.8%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète30 mars 25, 19:29 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China allow banking operations using virtual currencies again in 2026?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketWill Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that China has conducted combat operations in the Red Sea before January 1st 2040.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9 k €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.
- Comment China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that China has conducted combat operations in the Red Sea before January 1st 2040.