Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
21 oct. 25, 02:39 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsRobin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsWorld's best restaurant in 2026?
KalshiThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
KalshiRègles
Chad Jones is an economist whose work has centered on growth theory.
- This market resolves YES if Jones wins the Nobel Prize in Economics before the year 2033 (so, one of 2026-2032).
- [link preview]
