Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard21 oct. 25, 02:39 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsRobin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRègles
Chad Jones is an economist whose work has centered on growth theory.
- This market resolves YES if Jones wins the Nobel Prize in Economics before the year 2033 (so, one of 2026-2032).
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 360,3 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,2 k €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 37,4 k €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best R&B
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2032.
- Comment Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Chad Jones is an economist whose work has centered on growth theory.