Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
29 sept. 26, 00:37 UTC24 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Over 500 arrested for public nudity in Iran before midnight Christmas Eve?
Manifold MarketsTV presenter Jonathan Ross differentiates his name before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
The robotic arm of the International Space Station is at question posting time being troubleshooted.
- If the arm operates a scheduled task or is declared in even partial functional state for useful operations before midnight on Christmas Eve, resolves YES.
- Otherwise NO.