California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionEntreprises et affairesMacro et économieManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréEn attente d'une résolution vérifiée: Appears on ballot in California in 2026
Résolu: 19 oct. 2026, 04:34
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 oct. 2026, 15:57 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Appears on ballot in California in 202696%
Appears on ballot in Ca2026 and Gavin Newsom endorses voting yes on it2.6%
Does not appear on ballot due to lawsuit15.5%
Does not appear on ballot due to insufficient signatures7.1%
Résultat en attente
Résultat en attente
Résultat en attente
Résultat en attente
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
KalshiWill Initiative #25-0024A1 (2026 Billionaire Tax Act) pass in California in 2026?
ForecastExBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk die a billionaire?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]
Manifold Marketsanthropic model release prop bets
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.
- Must be a one time tax, and target individuals, families, households or family units with net worth or assets over 1b.
- Endorses is a public endorsement.
- Rumours of what he votes for or says he wants behind closed doors is not enough for resolution.
- Resolves to his first endorsement of a side.
- If he endorsed yes or no, would immediately resolve.