Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 75.7%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 24, 12:44 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
A famous person in this case is anyone who has a Wikipedia page.
- Although most people who would have a deepfake made of them are most likely to be famous so I’m not anticipating this to be a random person with a Wikipedia page.
- A deepfake will count even if the organizations backtrack if they originally reported it as a real video then it counts.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations sera-t-il résolu ?
- By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A famous person in this case is anyone who has a Wikipedia page.