Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard29 mars 23, 02:30 UTC1 janv. 64, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia annex territory from _____ in 2026?
FutuurWill Israel formally annex new territory during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market solves to YES if the state called Republic of China, based in the island of Taiwan, has control of territory in mainland China.
- I'll rely on the facts on the ground.
- The land has to be in peace for this market to resolve to YES.
- If by market close they have disputed control or are in the process of taking control, this market resolves to NO.
- This market resolves to NO preemptively if the state of the Republic of China ceases to exist for 1 year.
- I'll rely in the mainstream media outlets.