By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?
Health & MedicineOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 mars 24, 09:38 UTC1 janv. 40, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Ray Kurzweil recently predicted that we will use simulated humans to accelerate clinical trials and cure all major diseases by 2029 (full quote below)
- by using simulated humans Kurzweil believes we can greatly speed up both drug development & approvals
- I've modified his prediction by extending it to 2040 as a margin of error & excluded his mention of curing all major diseases.
- Resolution Criteria
- Use of Simulated Humans in the majority of Clinical trials by 2040
- The use of these simulated humans must greatly accelerate the time it takes for a drug to be approved
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66.8% au 24 septembre 2026.
- Quand By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
- Comment By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Ray Kurzweil recently predicted that we will use simulated humans to accelerate clinical trials and cure all major diseases by 2029 (full quote below)