Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineEurope2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard23 juil. 26, 23:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 23, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, any member of the UK Cabinet under Prime Minister Andy Burnham formally resigns from their Cabinet post.
- Cabinet Minister Definition: Any individual officially listed as a member of the Cabinet of the United Kingdom on GOV.UK or widely reported by major media outlets (e.g., BBC, The Guardian, Financial Times) as holding a full Cabinet-level role in the Burnham administration.
- Resignation Definition: The minister must voluntarily step down from their Cabinet post (including resignations in protest, for personal reasons, or when requested/pressured to do so by the Prime Minister, provided a formal resignation is submitted and accepted).
- Being sacked, dismissed, or removed directly by the Prime Minister without resigning first.
- Being reassigned to a different Cabinet role during a reshuffle.
