Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 juil. 26, 23:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham Exit Date - 2026
SmarketsNext General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham
SmarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 23, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, any member of the UK Cabinet under Prime Minister Andy Burnham formally resigns from their Cabinet post.
- Cabinet Minister Definition: Any individual officially listed as a member of the Cabinet of the United Kingdom on GOV.UK or widely reported by major media outlets (e.g., BBC, The Guardian, Financial Times) as holding a full Cabinet-level role in the Burnham administration.
- Resignation Definition: The minister must voluntarily step down from their Cabinet post (including resignations in protest, for personal reasons, or when requested/pressured to do so by the Prime Minister, provided a formal resignation is submitted and accepted).
- Being sacked, dismissed, or removed directly by the Prime Minister without resigning first.
- Being reassigned to a different Cabinet role during a reshuffle.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria