Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
One-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 68.1%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète11 févr. 25, 16:48 UTC3 févr. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
This question is about civilian deaths due to state sponsored attacks only.
- Freelance terrorist attacks do not count unless found to have been directed and funded/equipped by a foreign government.
- The deaths need not however be directly due to conventional military operations, e.g. deaths due to covert Chinese government sabotage of US civilian infrastructure would count.
