Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers?
One-OffIA
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 43 minutes
20 déc. 22, 08:34 UTC1 janv. 50, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question is meant to measure the gap between solving the main math-based benchmarks at the time of market creation, and applying mathematics in the real world.
- Data science / data analysis / statistics positions: I'll accept anything in this general realm of jobs, with the caveat that I won't require any significant coding.
- For instance an AI working as an ML scientist would resolve this market YES, but this is not a requirement.
- There is no requirement that any human entry-level workers be fired/replaced, e.g. if for some reason both humans and AI are employed to do the same work that counts.
