Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 83.2% au 29 octobre 2026.

Quand Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? sera-t-il résolu ?

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to this leaderboard: https://artificialanalysis.ai/?omniscience=omniscience-hallucination-rate.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+15.9pt46.4%
• Claude-14.4pt45%
• ChatGPT-1.1pt6%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

14,3 M €

Volume 24h

173,4 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.3pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.5pt87%

+15 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+15.0pt50%
• Anthropic-14.0pt42%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6%

+12 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt29.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.6pt21.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt16.2%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-8.9pt21%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.8pt19%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+0.8pt18%

+5 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt98%
• Anthropic-1.3pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 résultats de plus

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• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
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• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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