Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.6%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète21 sept. 25, 01:52 UTC6 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Any significant presence on base, with equipment&personnel really.
- Can be contested, as long as it is clear who has possession.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2028.
- Comment Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any significant presence on base, with equipment&personnel really.