Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62.6%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 avr. 24, 05:59 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This resolves based on the net-positivity score of the most recent polls I can find asking Americans, age 18 and above, what their opinion of Sam Altman and Mark Zuckerberg are.
- (I might get estimates for each from different polls or from the same poll).
- Net-positivity scores are calculated as (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall positive sentiment) - (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall negative sentiment).
- For instance, according to this YouGov poll of 1500 US adult citizens,from November 2023,
- 5% have a very favorable opinion of Sam Altman.
- 11% have a somewhat favorable opinion of him.
