ARC-AGI-3 Kaggle competition: what will the #1 public leaderboard score be at the final deadline (Nov 2, 2026)?
IAOne-Off5j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle65% to under 80% 41%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 06:13 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
ARC Prize 2026 runs its ARC-AGI-3 competition on Kaggle: https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/leaderboard
- The score is RHAE (Relative Human Action Efficiency): how efficiently an agent solves the interactive games compared with a human baseline, where 100% means human-level efficiency.
- The leaderboard has moved fast.
- The Milestone #1 winner scored 1.21%.
- The reported Milestone #2 high (Sept 30) was 27.9%.
- By Oct 4, an open-sourced harness had reportedly taken the top public score to 55.89% (https://www.techtimes.com/articles/328542/20261006/arc-agi-3-scaffolding-beats-model-upgrades-same-ai-two-settings-49x-score-gain.htm).
