Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle≥$0.8T 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-25.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 26, 3:491 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
100%
100%
Règles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Marchés ouverts
Regulation
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+7.0pt92%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 255,7 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt72%
- Yes+5.0pt28%
- Volume total
- 6,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+2.0pt46%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-1.0pt40%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202865%
- Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt51%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt46%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 690,9 k €
GEMINIWill crypto market structure legislation become law?
- Before December 2026?25.5%
- Before 2027?22.5%
- Before November 2026?13.5%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 157,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
- Meta’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?
- Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote ≥$0.8T à 100% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.