JavaScript est désactivé. La navigation principale et les pages éditoriales restent disponibles, mais les widgets de marché en direct, les graphiques, la recherche et les fonctions de personnalisation peuvent être limités.

Anthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026

Corporate Actions IAOne-OffTech2mo

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

≥$40B 100%

En tête parmi 13 options

Prévisionnistes

20

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes

22 avr. 26, 3:421 oct. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

≥$50B92%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Resolves each threshold based on the peak annualized revenue run rate for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before September 30, 2026. "Annualized revenue" means any reported revenue figure extrapolated to a yearly rate (monthly ×12, quarterly ×4, or explicitly stated ARR). ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO when the market resolves (see below).

Resolution timing.
Revenue disclosure cadence changes at IPO: pre-IPO, ARR figures leak ad-hoc through press; post-IPO, revenue arrives on a quarterly filing schedule with a ~40–45 day lag from quarter-end.
If Anthropic is still private at September 30, 2026: market resolves at close, based on figures published on or before September 30, 2026.
If Anthropic is public at September 30, 2026: market waits up to 45 days after September 30, 2026 for the quarter-ending 10-Q or earnings release, then resolves.
Post-IPO quarterly revenue is annualized as quarterly × 4 and attributed to quarter-end.

Tendance du volume

$118

17 juil.6j de données28 juil.

Marchés Associés

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Manifold Markets

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Safe Superintelligence / SSI: 17%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Markets

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,548.29-2.72%

EthereumETH$1,884.61-4.20%

SolanaSOL$73.40-4.07%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0703-3.54%

BNBBNB$565.21-1.67%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.61%

Actualités Associées

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Règles

Resolves each threshold based on the peak annualized revenue run rate for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before September 30, 2026. "Annualized revenue" means any reported revenue figure extrapolated to a yearly rate (monthly ×12, quarterly ×4, or explicitly stated ARR). ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO when the market resolves (see below).

Resolution timing.
Revenue disclosure cadence changes at IPO: pre-IPO, ARR figures leak ad-hoc through press; post-IPO, revenue arrives on a quarterly filing schedule with a ~40–45 day lag from quarter-end.
If Anthropic is still private at September 30, 2026: market resolves at close, based on figures published on or before September 30, 2026.
If Anthropic is public at September 30, 2026: market waits up to 45 days after September 30, 2026 for the quarter-ending 10-Q or earnings release, then resolves.
Post-IPO quarterly revenue is annualized as quarterly × 4 and attributed to quarter-end.