Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Politique américaineOne-OffAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 43 minutes
12 mars 26, 12:48 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
KalshiWill Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?
KalshiDias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ?
FutuurImpeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil Supreme Court decisions still behind captcha by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- If Alexandre de Moraes’s resignation, removal, suspension, or any other departure from the Court is officially announced before the market end date, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of when that change takes effect.
- Resolution will be based primarily on official statements or records from Alexandre de Moraes and the Brazilian government.
- In the absence of clear official confirmation, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 79%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? · Before Jan 1, 2028 75%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
