Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
3.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPolitiqueLatin America3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 67%
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
517 €
Liquidité
3,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
27.0% / 32.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
1 sept. 26, 19:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Manifold MarketsImpeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will join STF (Brazil's Supreme Court) in their lifetime?
Manifold MarketsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
KalshiRègles
If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Supremo Tribunal Federal
- Alexandre de Moraes must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role.
- This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If Alexandre de Moraes vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 91%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 72%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Futuur.