Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète11 août 25, 14:30 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if:
- An album credibly documented as AI-generated appears anywhere on a Billboard 200 chart dated before January 1, 2030.
- Evidence that the charting album is AI‑generated must include either an official creator/label statement or coverage by a major outlet (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The Verge, NYT) explicitly describing the release as AI‑generated.
- Resolves NO if:
- If the criteria for YES are not met before the market ends.
- If Billboard updates its chart policies to exclude AI-generated content before the criteria are met.