Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.8%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
27 nov. 25, 14:04 UTC31 mai 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
Manifold MarketsOnce a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 5 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
Manifold MarketsWill a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsOn June 1st 2027 will Sci-Hub be working again?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Similar to https://manifold.markets/StephenMcAleese/will-an-ai-model-achieve-superhuman
- This market will be resolved as YES if any AI lab announces that their model has achieved a higher ELO than any human on the Codeforces leaderboard at the time of the model's release.
