Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 nov. 25, 18:20 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Update 2025-11-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Freehand animation refers to freehand movement achieved when each frame is hand drawn with no interpolation/tweening tools used.
- Key characteristic: Smear frames - quick movements that produce distortions that are nonsensical when looked at individually, but make sense in quick sequence.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution method: 8 prompts will be given to the video generative model (examples include prompts about dancers, artists sketching, boxers, skateboarders, hand movements).
- Movements will be sampled from actual artists of varying skill levels (beginner to professional) for comparison.
- A blind competition between real vs generative works will be conducted to determine resolution.
