Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 77.3%
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183
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète26 août 25, 16:48 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?
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Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
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PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless
- Must be Java version CAN:
- Can use scaffolds or similar.
- Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.
- Can't get human help.
- Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)
