Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.7%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète6 déc. 25, 20:08 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?
PolymarketWill Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves the same as @/Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.
- At present only one human has attained this goal, though another proved it doable in 6:17.
