Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.7%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète6 déc. 25, 20:08 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiTop Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiWill Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves the same as @/Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.
- At present only one human has attained this goal, though another proved it doable in 6:17.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves the same as @/Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.