Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.2%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 25, 00:42 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia's Blackwell chips be sold in China by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
NVIDIA uses air transport to deliver their chips, due to the time-value.
- This is YES if a plane is shot down or crashes or disappears under mysterious circumstances suggesting sabotage or a physical or other type of attack.
- The plane must be lost or likely lost/unknown.
- Simply stopping flights due to threats is not enough.
- By end of June 30 2027
- Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Minimum Chip Requirement: The plane must be carrying at least 1000 chips or an equivalent estimated value.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027 doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : NVIDIA uses air transport to deliver their chips, due to the time-value.