Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.8%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard2 déc. 25, 01:28 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many USNC micro-modular reactors will be in operation in 2030? (x5)
Manifold MarketsHow much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the United Kingdom has at least 10 working small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) units before January 1st 2040.
- For this market:
- “SMR” definition:
- A reactor counts as an SMR if its electrical capacity is ≤ 300 MWe, in line with common IAEA / industry definitions, or if it is explicitly described as a “small modular reactor” (or “advanced modular reactor”) by the UK government, the operator, or major international nuclear bodies.
- Only fission reactors count.
- Fusion devices do not count.
