LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 50%
Before Oct 1, 2026 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
27 août 26, 12:22 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketJames Comey charges dropped by December 31?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed?
Manifold MarketsJames Comey convicted of a federal crime?
Manifold MarketsWill Sharia law be used by a court in an EU country to resolve a criminal case by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWil Manifold censor or remove criminal charge markets before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome.
If United States of America v.
- James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
A dismissal is defined as:
For Criminal Cases:
Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (nolle prosequi)
Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations
Dismissal for speedy trial violations
Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct
Dismissal for insufficient evidence
Dismissal following successful motion to dismiss
The following do NOT constitute dismissals:
Settlement agreements between parties
Plea bargains or guilty pleas in criminal cases
Default judgments
Summary judgments on the merits
Trial verdicts (guilty, not guilty, liable, not liable)
Consent decrees or agreed orders
Cases transferred to different courts
Cases stayed or continued indefinitely
Bankruptcy discharge (which is a substantive resolution)
Cases resolved through alternative dispute resolution
Appeals or remands (unless the appellate court dismisses the case entirely)
Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions
Administrative closure
If only some claims, counts, or defendants are dismissed while the case continues on other matters, this does NOT constitute a dismissal for purposes of this contract.
- The entire case must be dismissed.
Outcome verified from Eastern District of North Carolina.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed? · Before Jul 1, 2027 60%
