KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Las Vegas, NV 87%En tête parmi 21 options
Las Vegas, NV 87%Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
194,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
13 mai 26, 23:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PolymarketWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 27, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within the named outcome before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Waymo
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within the named outcome, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within the named outcome may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of the named outcome Waymo expands from adjacent areas into the named outcome limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within the named outcome Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in the named outcome Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public