Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSan Diego 100%En tête parmi 19 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 25, 22:25 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Waymo available in European Union before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold Marketswill waymo be available in Portland before the bloodborne movie releases?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 27, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No. When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Where will Waymo operate in 2026? · Las Vegas, NV 87%
