KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 5.42% or above (84%)
Résolu: 21 oct. 2026, 23:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 oct. 2026, 19:07 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
5.42% or above84%
5.4% or above99%
5.36% or above0%
5.46% or above16%
5.44% or above52%
5.48% or above6%
5.38% or above89%
5.5% or above7%
5.64% or above1%
5.52% or above0%
5.54% or above0%
5.56% or above0%
5.58% or above0%
5.6% or above0%
5.62% or above0%
5.4% or abovePerdu
5.36% or abovePerdu
5.38% or abovePerdu
5.42% or aboveGagné
5.44% or abovePerdu
5.46% or abovePerdu
5.48% or abovePerdu
5.5% or abovePerdu
5.64% or abovePerdu
5.52% or abovePerdu
5.54% or abovePerdu
5.56% or abovePerdu
5.58% or abovePerdu
5.6% or abovePerdu
5.62% or abovePerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 5.4% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.36% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.38% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.42% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.44% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.46% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.48% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.47% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.5% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.64% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.63% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.52% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.51% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.54% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.53% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.56% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.55% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.58% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.57% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.6% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.59% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.62% or above
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.61% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.