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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 9%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

8 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

7.0% / 18.0%

Spread

157.1%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

5 mars 26, 15:0031 déc. 26, 21:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes9%

Règles

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,684.84+1.64%EthereumETH$1,654.75+1.10%SolanaSOL$65.04+0.83%

Marchés Associés

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,8 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Oui: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.05%XRPXRP$1.12-0.14%BNBBNB$596.01+1.28%CardanoADA$0.1655+2.44%HyperliquidHYPE$55.91+0.86%LitecoinLTC$42.53-0.09%

Actualités Associées

HashKey Group Joins HKMA’s Tokenised Bond Expert Group, Cementing Hong Kong’s Infrastructure PlayBlockchain ReporterJPMorgan, HSBC join Hong Kong tokenized bond working groupCrypto NewsHKMA Forms Tokenized Bond Expert Group to Advance MarketBlockchain.NewsBitwise model puts bitcoin fair value at $224,000 as sovereign-default hedgeCoindesk

Règles

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.