KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above .7% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above .7% 11%En tête parmi 4 options
Above .7% 11%Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
6,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above .7%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 37 minutes
8 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 21:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above .7%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
Kalshi30-year mortgage rate this week
KalshiHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketFrance defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiRègles
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above .7%
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.00%
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above .8%
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above .9%
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .9%, then the market resolves to Yes.