KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4.7% 90%En tête parmi 16 options
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
49.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
10 sept. 26, 16:15 UTC15 oct. 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
South Korea exports YoY for September
KalshiSouth Korea exports YoY for September
LimitlessHow high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
KalshiWill the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt79.4%
- No change-16.0pt19.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 105,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+16.0pt86%
- September Meeting+19.0pt82%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt87.1%
- No-5.0pt12.9%
- Volume total
- 7,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 117 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.5pt47.4%
- 2 (50 bps)31.6%
- 0 (0 bps)-9.0pt10.5%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-16.0pt18%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
+6 résultats de plus
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will CPI get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - August 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour PPI YoY in September ?
- Kalshi cote Above 4.7% à 90% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand PPI YoY in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- PPI YoY in September doit être résolu le 15 octobre 2026.
- Comment PPI YoY in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.