KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 67%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
33.0% / 34.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 août 26, 16:40 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalABCPACERCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
- For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.