KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
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Alerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 27 oct. 2026, 05:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
10,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
- / 100.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
7 juil. 26, 22:15 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Before Jan 1, 202711%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:The Washington PostDonald TrumpFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationABCthe Associated PressNBCAxiosThe White HouseOffice of the Supreme Leader of IranThe New York TimesPoliticoCNNReutersCBSBloomberg News
- A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.