KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 76%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
103,2 €
Liquidité
2,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
76.0% / 78.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 août 26, 00:13 UTC26 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse Netanyahu?
KalshiHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/5-9/11)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRègles
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Donald Trump
- An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Brazilian presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2026 Brazilian presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials
- Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race.
- If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? doit être résolu le 26 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump publicly endorses Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.