Brazil Election 2026: Will Flávio Bolsonaro question the legitimacy of Brazil's 2026 presidential election results?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 17:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.9%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 oct. 26, 01:27 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Market Rules
- Resolves YES if Flávio Bolsonaro publicly questions the legitimacy or integrity of the 2026 presidential election results within 48 hours of the TSE announcing the runoff results, regardless of whether he wins or loses.
- Qualifying statements include explicit allegations of electoral fraud, vote manipulation, or claims that the announced results are illegitimate.
- Resolves NO if no qualifying statement is made within the 48-hour window.
- Resolution will be based on public statements and credible news reports.
