Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionAmérique latine
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
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Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Flávio Bolsonaro 4%-2.5ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Flávio Bolsonaro 4%-2.5ptQualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,8 k €
Liquidité
62,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeIntérêt ouvert
22,3 k $US
Commentaires
5
Variation 7j
-25.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 11:57 UTC26 oct. 26, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Flávio Bolsonaro4%
Lula da Silva1%
Augusto Cury0%
Renan Santos0%
Romeu Zema0%
Ronaldo Caiado0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse?
PolymarketWill Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
- If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
