KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
40.1% 37.4%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,1 k €
Liquidité
17,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 sept. 26, 14:01 UTC21 sept. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 40.1% à 37% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.