KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 72%
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
72.0% / 73.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
10 sept. 26, 03:30 UTC3 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026 that the Trump administration's new federal ACA rebate initiative first reported on September 9, 2026, or a revised or successor implementation of that initiative, has actually issued rebates totaling at least $100 to each of at least 100,000 actual recipients, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The market concerns the new federal ACA rebate initiative first reported on September 9, 2026, including a revised or successor implementation.
- Payments may be made directly or through a government-authorized disbursing agent.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 72% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026 that the Trump administration's new federal ACA rebate initiative first reported on September 9, 2026, or a revised or successor implementation of that initiative, has actually issued rebates totaling at least $100 to each of at least 100,000 actual recipients, then the market resolves to Yes.