KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 72%
Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
119,3 k €
Liquidité
83,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
58.0% / 59.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
9 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PredictItRègles
If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Donald Trump
- The apology must specifically reference the topic either directly by name/description or with clear contextual connection.
- Qualifying apologies include explicit statements using words like "apologize," "sorry," "regret," or "I was wrong" related specifically to the topic, public acknowledgment of fault or error, or retraction of previous statements coupled with expression of wrongdoing.
- The apology must be in a public forum (social media, press conference, interview, official statement).
- Conditional apologies ("I would be sorry if..."), sarcastic or clearly insincere statements, private apologies that are reported but not confirmed publicly, statements of regret without accepting responsibility, and clarifications without expressions of remorse do not qualify.
- If the person apologizes and then retracts before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes based on the initial apology.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
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+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
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- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
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- 418 k €
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- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
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- Democrat+16.0pt82%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 217,4 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 72% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.