Probabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 9%+1.0%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,8 k €
Liquidité
7,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
75.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
20 juil. 26, 16:0027 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Claude9%
Tendance du volume
$7.7k20 juil.3j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
46,4 k €No release by July 31: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company this week
30,5 k €Baidu: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
17,5 k €Anthropic: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
9,6 k €Anthropic: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich AI lab will get a perfect score on the IMO 2026?
4,1 k €OpenAI: 84.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.