Probabilité implicite actuelle
Baidu 1%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
28,3 k €
Liquidité
24,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
21 juil. 26, 2:0027 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Baidu1%
Grosses transactions
$1.4k99.0%
KALSHITencent — No-6 h
KALSHITencent — No-6 h$1.1k99.0%KALSHIMiniMax — No-6 h
KALSHIMiniMax — No-6 hMarchés Associés
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
315,5 €Oui: 84.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 k €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
1,9 k €#10: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
43,8 €Oui: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
3,3 k €Other: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
2,3 k €Alibaba: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecrypt
NVIDIA Nemotron AI Challenge Offers Lessons on Improving Model ReasoningBlockchain.News
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'DecryptNVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.NewsRègles
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.