KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
12 or more 96%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
1 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC5 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? ?
- Kalshi cote 12 or more à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? doit être résolu le 5 octobre 2027.
- Comment Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.